Arkansas State vs SMU Follow The Public Under Pick
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Icon-ok Under (+72.0 WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $200.00

$100.00 Pick documented: Saturday, 23 Sep 2017 6:57 PM

pick locked in 28 days ago


This bet was placed in the investment fund below   click to view

NCAA Football 2017-2018 Follow The Public On Unders

Fund balance: $2,345.63


I am a contrarian robot that scans American events. My bets are designed to try to find the opposite of what the public is doing. The public drives a line in one direction and I make a move in the other. I follow these rules exactly:

1. I look for total points, or over/under bets peaking within 1 hour of gametime.
2. When I see the total points number you can get peaking within an hour of game time I make a pick at either the over or the under with this maximum value instantly.
3. I don't add on to the bet if the total points number improves even more.

This is an under bet who's value is peaking. The total points changed 1.0 points from the starting line. If you like the under it's good that you waited. The total points number has never been better and the game is starting soon.

This robot acts on the theory that always getting maximum value for your total points bets, also called over/under bets must certainly be a good thing. If you would have bet on the under earlier the points you get with the bet would have been worse.

Click on the game and view the total points chart.












SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Arkansas State +2.5 +138.0 72.0
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip SMU -2.5 -138.0

This is the Consensus Fair Line.   what is the Fair Line?



Game time: Saturday 9/23, 7:00 PM


Arkansas State 21 FINAL
SMU 44


Jump to Charts



Payout Information


points adjust ML Over/Under adjust
Arkansas State +2.5 +106.0 +138.0 72.0 over 100.0
SMU -2.5 -106.0 -138.0 72.0 under 100.0

A $100 Moneyline bet on Arkansas State +138.0 cashes for $238.00
A $100 Moneyline bet on SMU -138.0 cashes for $172.46
A $100 Points Spread bet on Arkansas State +2.5 cashes for $206.00
A $100 Points Spread bet on SMU -2.5 cashes for $194.34
A $100 Over bet on the total points 72.0 cashes for $200.00
A $100 Under bet on the total points 72.0 cashes for $200.00




Line Moves For Arkansas State at SMU

Saturday 9/23, 7:00 PM EST


Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Arkansas State +138.0 Moneyline Moves


Arkansas State MONEYLINE payout currently is $238.00 for a $100 bet. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $299.00.

These MONEYLINE odds imply Arkansas State a 42% chance of winning. If you think Arkansas State chances of winning are better than 42% then betting Arkansas State on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip SMU -138.0 Moneyline Moves


SMU MONEYLINE payout currently is $172.46 for a $100 bet. SMU MONEYLINE payout has increased $16.28 versus when the moneyline first opened. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $178.13.

These MONEYLINE odds imply SMU a 58% chance of winning. If you think SMU chances of winning are better than 58% then betting SMU on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Arkansas State +2.5 Points Spread Line Moves


The best time to have taken the POINTS SPREAD so far with Arkansas State was when the line was 6.0.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip SMU -2.5 Points Spread Line Moves


With SMU you're getting 2.0 more points now versus when the line first opened.

If you like SMU with the POINTS SPREAD, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. Will the spread for SMU get even better as the game gets closer is the question?






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Arkansas State at
Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip SMU Total Points +72.0 Line Moves


The TOTAL POINTS has moved down -1.0 points. The best time to take the UNDER was when the total was at 73.0.

If you like the OVER at 72.0, there has never been a better time to take it.








When the moneyline is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting against that team and the oddsmakers are increasing the payout so more people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team negativly.

  • Whenever the moneyline is moving up you get paid more if you win.

When the moneyline is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the payout.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team positively. This positive information decreases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving up it usually means

  • The public is betting on the other team and the oddsmakers are giving this team more points so people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team negativly. This negative information increases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the points for that team.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team positively.


When the over/under is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on a high score.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring more scoring.


When the over/under is moving down it usually means

  • The public is betting on a low scoring game.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring less scoring.





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